Testing the Big 3 in New Hampshire
by Patrick Ruffini :: January 29th, 2007 7:15 pmSurveyUSA has a New Hampshire poll out that limits the field to the Big 3, Giuliani, McCain and Romney. Giuliani, my guy in this race, is out front with 33 percent, effectively tied with McCain at 32 percent, and Mitt Romney rounds out the field at 21 percent. This comes on the heels of a Research 2000 poll that showed a slight Giuliani lead. Clearly, each of the top 3 will be formidable in New Hampshire.
Interesting tidbits from the crosstabs. Giuliani tends to do well with younger voters, leading McCain 44 to 27 percent in the 18-34 category while Romney actually leads in the over-65 category. Ideology isn’t a huge polarizing factor between the top 2, with Giuliani leading conservatives by 3 and trailing with moderates by 5. Likewise, Giuliani leads with Republicans by 3 while McCain leads with independents by 5.
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