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links for 2008-02-20

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 20th, 2008 7:19 am

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Crowdsourcing Obama’s Donations

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 20th, 2008 12:02 am

Barack Obama won the Wisconsin primary tonight, cementing his status as the likely Democratic nominee. He now has a chance to wrap it up on March 4th.

For a while I’ve been mentally keeping tabs on Obama’s online fundraising numbers via the live count of the number of donors on his web site. However, it’s no RonPaulGraphs.com, with its deep analytics probing daily donation activity.

So, I’ve decided to crowdsource my monitoring of Obama’s website. Through a nifty new feature in Google Docs and Spreadsheets, I can now collect input for spreadsheets via a form. I’m asking folks to take the two bits of information (number of donors and time) and plug it into this form. This will take less than 30 seconds. You’re free to help out with this monitoring project more than once a day.

The spreadsheet with the latest numbers is here. I’ve added calculations for what they are on pace to do in a day using their number of donors and assuming a $120 online contribution average.

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links for 2008-02-19

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 19th, 2008 7:19 am

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Paultard Drinking Game

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 18th, 2008 7:15 pm

Use this thread to guess the number of comments by midnight, tell us which adult beverages you’d consume in a Paulbot commenter drinking game, and make your nominations for the nuttiest poster.

Even this Daily Paul commenter doesn’t have great faith in his own people.

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Attacked by Ron Paul

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 18th, 2008 5:10 pm

Whoa. Ron Paul just attacked me in an email:

A Republican operative allied with the worst forces in DC recently said: “Give what you can [to Ron Paul’s opponent]. Ron Paul is running scared — using his Presidential campaign’s donors’ money to subsidize a desperate last-minute attempt to save his Congressional seat.”

He calls me a liar, but then proceeds to undermine his argument by using a key Presidential campaign asset (his e-mail list) to bail out his faltering Congressional campaign. I am signed up to receive Paul’s Presidential campaign emails, but not his Congressional campaign emails, so this Paul-for-Congress solicitation comes as the result of a list swap or list rental.

Ron Paul can’t use money for his Presidential race to fund his 2008 Congressional campaign, but assuming he survives in 2008, he could use his leftover Presidential funds to position himself as Congressman-for-Life from the TX-14. Federal officeholders can freely move money around between their Presidential and Congressional accounts between election cycles, as both Hillary Clinton and John Kerry have done in eight figure amounts. Does Paul intend to draw down his Presidential account before the Convention if he’s not using his campaign loot to underwrite his future job security?

Also, notice how he can’t bring himself to say my name, or Chris Peden’s?

Chris Peden for Congress.

Full email after the jump. Read the rest of this entry »

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links for 2008-02-18

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 18th, 2008 7:22 am

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links for 2008-02-17

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 17th, 2008 7:18 am

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Let McCain Be McCain

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 16th, 2008 10:33 pm

With the nomination in hand, the instinct in Camp McCain has been to “rein in” their candidate and rebrand him as safe and unthreatening. This is the wrong instinct.

Senator John McCain was sitting in the front of his fancy-pants front-runner’s plane, trying to get comfortable. He fidgeted, occasionally lapsing into un-McCainlike blandness: “There is a process in place that will formalize the methodology,” he said in describing how his free-form campaign style will assume the discipline expected of a probable Republican standard-bearer.

The position is unnatural to Mr. McCain, who has typically floundered when not playing the insurgent role. But now he is in the midst of an at-times awkward transition — from being one of the most disruptive figures in his party to someone playing it safer, not to mention trying to make nice with Republicans he clearly despises and who feel similarly about him.

The truth is seldom conditional. By shedding his frontrunner aura in the summer of 2007, McCain’s team happened upon a fundamental truth about their candidate: that his candidacy only “works” as that of a maverick underdog fighter. That truth is still in force today. There is no need to reinvent the wheel by returning to the failed strategy of the spring of 2007 just because he is the nominee.

How so? Doesn’t the nomination require something more august, more restrained than the happy warrior riding the Straight Talk Express?

Not necessarily.

Over the last week, we’ve seen McCain go through the tea-and-crumpets routine with party elders in hopes of “uniting the party.” And while we certainly all love and respect Jeb Bush, George Allen, Tom Coburn, Mitt Romney, and George H.W. Bush, their pro-forma endorsements do nothing to “unite the party.”

In the last few weeks, we have seen the leader-follower model of conservative activation fail spectacularly, with McCain as the beneficiary. (It turns out that the conservative base does not jump when talk radio says “jump.”) This is all part of a broader disintermediation of politics. The two most successful GOP candidates were the ones the most hated by the conservative establishment. The Democrats — almost as deferential to their frontrunners as we are to ours — are on the verge of repudiating their First Family. Democratic voters in Massachusetts went in the other direction — only to repudiate theirs.

So if conservatives won’t take cues from talk radio, whom they at least agree with ideologically, why would they take cues from Washington party insiders who are seen as Republicans first and conservatives second?

As I wrote at CPAC, the way for McCain to mobilize the base is to go at them directly with policy specifics and red meat. Or as Matt Lewis suggests, conservative straight talk.

I fought as hard as anyone to get us a different nominee. But now that it’s McCain, can’t we at least get the benefit of his unique maverick-style approach to campaigning instead of the uninspiring Bob Dole “unite the party” routine we’ve got right now?

My problem with McCain was never with his free-wheeling maverick style. In fact, I’m in awe of how he uses to bring people around to unpopular positions. The problem was that I wished he’d spent more times pushing positions unpopular with Democrats. But those times he has agreed with us, such as the war, he has turned out to be the best advocate we could have.

By flashing his trademark pugnacity and humor, by deploying his straight talk on behalf of red meat conservative issues, he can go a long way towards amping up the enthusiasm level of grassroots conservatives.

The need for a different approach is underlined as it becomes progressively more likely we will not have Hillary as a foil.

Against Obama, we will be up against a movement that can raise $10 million a week online — and one that will have earned at least token goodwill from conservatives by slaying the Clintons.

The last thing we need in a race against youth and excitement is a boring and conventional older Republican. John McCain has already shown the capacity to transcend that image. We could use the happy warrior of old, the one who can shoot the breeze interminably with reporters (yes, it still works in the general) and puncture the Obama hype with authenticity, wisdom, and wit.

The likelihood is that we will be outspent by 2 or 3-to-1 in hard dollars, but John McCain was able to get nominated on fumes. All the Republican establishment support possible will only be able to provide but a shadow of the Democratic nominee’s support. Running a traditional Republican-style top-down campaign this year is not a strategic advantage but an Achilles’ Heel.

So leave pre-implosion make-nice John McCain in deep freeze and keep the guerrilla strategy from the primaries going a few more months. At least we know it works.

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links for 2008-02-16

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 16th, 2008 7:18 am

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Yes We Can… Give Ron Paul the Boot

by Patrick Ruffini :: February 15th, 2008 10:14 am

I’m going to make this short and sweet.

Chris Peden is a traditional conservative Republican candidate for Congress in Texas’s 14th Congressional district.

He’s running against Ron Paul.

The election is March 4th.

Here’s what Ron Paul says about TX-14: “If I were to lose the primary for my congressional seat, all our opponents would react with glee.”

Give what you can. Ron Paul is running scared — using his Presidential campaign’s donors’ money to subsidize a desperate last-minute attempt to save his Congressional seat.

If you’re a blogger and you endorse Peden and promise to post about this before March 4th, send a trackback to this post. And if you’re near the district, please volunteer (map). It’s within driving distance of Houston, Austin, and San Antonio.

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Patrick Ruffini   Patrick Ruffini is an online political strategist, blogger, and wearer of many hats. More...


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