2002 North Carolina Senate Race Analysis
by PatrickRuffini.com Research													Demographics				Supporting Data
	Total Votes	2002 Senate		2000 Presidential		1996 Presidential			00-02 Swing Bush to Dole	96-00 Swing Dole to Bush	96-02 Swing Dole to Dole	Turnout as % of 2000	% College Graduates	Average Income ('99)	% African American	Population Density	2002 Raw Vote			2000 Raw Vote			1996 Raw Vote
County		% Dole	% Bowles	% Bush	% Gore	% Dole	% Clinton	% Perot									Dole	Bowles	Total	Bush	Gore	Total	Dole	Clinton	Perot	Total
Summary Totals
STATEWIDE	2,296,047	54.36%	45.64%	55.96%	43.15%	48.73%	44.04%	6.68%	-4.10%	8.12%	4.02%	78.77%	8.72%	$43,549	22.24%	157.3	1,248,064	1,047,983	2,296,047	1,631,163	1,257,692	2,914,990	1,225,938	1,107,849	168,059	2,515,807
15% or More Swing to Bowles	238,241	54.23%	45.77%	60.49%	38.00%	49.70%	40.95%	8.87%	-14.04%	13.75%	-0.30%	81.17%	6.98%	$39,517	10.93%	66.9	129,187	109,054	238,241	177,555	111,537	293,511	127,874	105,369	22,833	257,304
Less than 15% Swing to Bowles	2,057,806	54.37%	45.63%	55.45%	43.72%	48.62%	44.39%	6.43%	-2.98%	7.50%	4.51%	78.50%	9.28%	$44,822	25.81%	185.8	1,118,877	938,929	2,057,806	1,453,608	1,146,155	2,621,479	1,098,064	1,002,480	145,226	2,258,503
Judis-Teixeira "Ideopolis"	774,647	50.41%	49.59%	50.15%	48.89%	45.60%	48.30%	5.28%	-0.45%	3.97%	3.52%	78.57%	20.69%	$58,682	19.55%	552	390,468	384,179	774,647	494,475	481,997	985,897	389,387	412,485	45,099	853,937
Non-Ideopolis	1,521,400	56.37%	43.63%	58.92%	40.21%	50.34%	41.84%	7.40%	-5.98%	10.22%	4.24%	78.87%	7.68%	$42,233	22.47%	123	857,596	663,804	1,521,400	1,136,688	775,695	1,929,093	836,551	695,364	122,960	1,661,870
County by County
ALAMANCE	34,167	60.23%	39.77%	62.23%	37.08%	53.66%	37.78%	8.11%	-4.69%	9.28%	4.59%	72.56%	10.51%	$48,263	19.19%	279.7	20,580	13,587	34,167	29,305	17,459	47,091	22,461	15,814	3,395	41,861
ALEXANDER	11,695	60.92%	39.08%	68.50%	30.88%	57.53%	33.72%	8.56%	-15.78%	13.81%	-1.96%	86.68%	5.40%	$44,626	6.03%	121.6	7,125	4,570	11,695	9,242	4,166	13,492	6,748	3,955	1,004	11,730
ALLEGHANY	3,686	50.08%	49.92%	58.68%	39.76%	45.71%	42.53%	10.81%	-18.76%	15.73%	-3.02%	85.46%	6.76%	$41,973	1.84%	42.0	1,846	1,840	3,686	2,531	1,715	4,313	1,936	1,801	458	4,235
ANSON	6,197	34.44%	65.56%	39.59%	60.01%	28.81%	64.23%	6.73%	-10.70%	15.00%	4.30%	77.61%	5.01%	$37,475	47.19%	45.8	2,134	4,063	6,197	3,161	4,792	7,985	2,193	4,890	512	7,613
ASHE	8,863	55.13%	44.87%	60.35%	38.88%	52.33%	38.47%	8.70%	-11.22%	7.61%	-3.60%	85.92%	5.90%	$35,395	0.65%	56.8	4,886	3,977	8,863	6,226	4,011	10,316	5,203	3,825	865	9,942
AVERY	4,844	74.65%	25.35%	74.04%	25.19%	62.83%	25.75%	10.63%	0.45%	11.77%	12.21%	72.36%	8.07%	$44,049	1.05%	64.2	3,616	1,228	4,844	4,956	1,686	6,694	3,870	1,586	655	6,159
BEAUFORT	15,155	59.76%	40.24%	60.83%	38.32%	53.59%	40.57%	5.48%	-2.98%	9.48%	6.50%	87.54%	7.33%	$39,997	31.11%	54.0	9,057	6,098	15,155	10,531	6,634	17,313	8,154	6,172	834	15,215
BERTIE	5,288	31.60%	68.40%	34.67%	64.94%	27.83%	67.01%	5.04%	-6.53%	8.91%	2.38%	73.69%	5.18%	$31,738	61.37%	29.2	1,671	3,617	5,288	2,488	4,660	7,176	1,745	4,202	316	6,271
BLADEN	8,618	40.31%	59.69%	45.63%	53.99%	37.22%	55.27%	7.31%	-11.02%	9.69%	-1.33%	79.01%	5.13%	$42,227	38.96%	35.3	3,474	5,144	8,618	4,977	5,889	10,908	3,335	4,952	655	8,960
BRUNSWICK	25,539	54.83%	45.17%	53.49%	45.49%	45.70%	45.59%	8.24%	1.65%	7.90%	9.54%	88.56%	7.56%	$40,323	17.99%	82.2	14,002	11,537	25,539	15,427	13,118	28,839	10,065	10,041	1,815	22,023
BUNCOMBE	62,719	50.00%	50.00%	53.93%	45.09%	44.19%	45.84%	9.05%	-8.84%	10.49%	1.65%	73.38%	13.69%	$49,184	8.17%	299.4	31,360	31,359	62,719	46,101	38,545	85,476	30,518	31,658	6,254	69,067
BURKE	25,466	56.35%	43.65%	60.23%	38.89%	48.97%	41.28%	9.38%	-8.63%	13.65%	5.02%	83.06%	7.39%	$42,898	6.81%	164.3	14,351	11,115	25,466	18,466	11,924	30,658	13,853	11,678	2,654	28,291
CABARRUS	39,091	65.06%	34.94%	66.05%	32.89%	55.76%	34.97%	8.78%	-3.03%	12.37%	9.34%	78.94%	8.59%	$55,962	12.94%	335.9	25,434	13,657	39,091	32,704	16,284	49,517	23,035	14,447	3,626	41,310
CALDWELL	21,756	60.88%	39.12%	66.39%	32.89%	55.18%	35.11%	9.15%	-11.74%	13.43%	1.69%	83.31%	6.26%	$41,547	5.46%	162.5	13,245	8,511	21,756	17,337	8,588	26,115	12,653	8,050	2,099	22,931
CAMDEN	2,617	49.37%	50.63%	57.51%	41.93%	41.86%