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The Intersection’s way-too-early 2028 Democratic primary model
Yes, it's next to impossible to predict. So what?
Sep 8, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
16
1
The realignment is here
The first GOP popular vote win in 20 years, the Red Wave hit everywhere, 2024 realigned the electorate as much as 2016, less secure voters moved towards…
Nov 15, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
60
15
9
The book that explains the 2024 election
Revisiting Party of the People, one year later
Nov 6, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
15
4
4
It's not Iran. It's the gas prices.
The real worries about AI, Gen Z thinks the job market is a scam, Ok Boomer Democrats, the left-electability nexus, Black Dem conservatives…
Mar 20
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Patrick Ruffini
8
2
The Democrats' identity crisis
The 26 seats that will decide, signals flashing red, Texas isn’t done yet, AI brain fry, Americans are uniquely judgy, views of data centers, GeoGuessr…
Mar 13
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Patrick Ruffini
18
2
Most Popular
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The realignment is here
Nov 15, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
60
15
9
America now has more Republicans than Democrats
Dec 30, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
39
10
15
Why this extremely viral poll result might not be real
Mar 28, 2023
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Patrick Ruffini
31
10
1
Actually, you should look at margins, not vote share
Oct 12, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
22
31
11
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⭐ Texas takeaways
MAGA vs. conservatism, new DDHQ Votes portal, faithless Trump voters, where the educated elite are strongest, falling LGBTQ identification, parenting is…
Mar 6
•
Patrick Ruffini
23
Gallup's exit
Newsom’s underperformance, elasticity defined, open seat bonanza, the bias in past job approval, trans policy views, national pride, algorithmic feeds…
Feb 20
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Patrick Ruffini
21
4
The permanent 40% job approval rating
Trump's ratings aren't unique to Trump
Feb 17
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Patrick Ruffini
7
1
If AI is like the Internet, it won’t cost jobs
Debunking the AI jobs loss myth, islands of urban Trumpism, work-from-home babies and the cure for too much screen time
Feb 13
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Patrick Ruffini
16
2
Who's more extreme in America today?
The centrist dead zone, the left keeps moving left, leaving the door open to a Congressional bid in 2030, X is not real life, the "mansplaining" every…
Feb 6
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Patrick Ruffini
12
2
4
America is moving to red states
The drivers of internal migration, big turnout expected for 2026, Elias disses Election Twitter, Chart of the Century update, hating your state, long…
Jan 30
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Patrick Ruffini
24
1
3
One year of Trump 2.0. How’s his coalition doing?
Redistricting turns Dem, the four types of Trump voter, the partisanship of sports athletes, realignment in one chart, notes from the software…
Jan 23
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Patrick Ruffini
20
2
Some pollsters get it right
Polls sometimes underestimate Democrats, new Cook ratings, vibe-coding gone wild, AI-proofing your job, TV shows in decline, the age of information…
Jan 16
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Patrick Ruffini
9
2
The myth of MAGA isolationism
Polymarket insiders, the Claude Code moment, AI as the new crypto, the 2020s population race
Jan 9
•
Patrick Ruffini
10
4
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The Intersection
Exploring the intersection of politics & data with Patrick Ruffini
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