Special election distress signals
Democrats upset with their party, combative centrism, strategic independents, Dems' working class disconnect, new polling on immigration and TikTok, religious highly educated parents
No. 355 | March 28th, 2025
🇺🇲 2025
It’s starting to look a lot like 2017 in terms of off-year and special elections.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball has a look at recent off-year election results and how they might spell trouble for the GOP.
Cinyc has broken down the Wisconsin mail ballot returns and finds an electorate somewhere in between the 2024 presidential election (Trump +1) and the 2023 Supreme Court race (Dem-aligned +11). As per usual, high-income suburbs are overperforming on ballot returns.
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