The Intersection

The Intersection

4x💯: Are Dems out of good redistricting moves?

Florida's low-risk gerrymander, Dems favored regardless of new maps, gerontocracy is out, superyachts vs. Senate seats, the politics of energy, build your own median voter, engaged dads

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Patrick Ruffini
May 01, 2026
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No. 400 | May 1, 2026

It’s the 400th edition of The Intersection! Here’s what was covered in past centennial editions:

  • No. 100 — December 13, 2019: Blue Wave in the UK — Boris Johnson’s landslide victory

  • No. 200 — December 17, 2021: Americans prefer suburbs, Democrats’ second post-2020 Latino postmortem

  • No. 300 — January 19, 2024: Trump’s Iowa victory

Thank you for your support as we chronicle the evolution of data-driven politics. Here’s to the next 100.

🏛️ VRA Section 2 is effectively a dead letter. Are Dems out of good redistricting moves?

The Supreme Court’s long-awaited decision in Callais v. Louisiana has come down. As expected, it renders the Voting Rights Act’s Section 2 a dead letter — but stops short of eliminating it entirely. But the standard of proof is so high that it will do nothing to stop a bonanza of Southern redraws, creating maps that could look something like this:

And Democrats could well counter with the following in states that they control, entirely eliminating Repub…

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