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The near-collapse of NGP VAN, Democrats' non-strategy, the fall of 538, trust in institutions, the true House popular vote, views of foreign aid, ChatGPT Tyler Cowen, the young liberal LGBTQ majority

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Patrick Ruffini
Mar 07, 2025
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No. 352 | March 5th, 2025

🔵 The Democrats

The rise of Internet fundraising has driven the Democratic Party to the left, complicating efforts to moderate in national elections and leaving behind its former working class nonwhite base.

Here is the paper that demonstrates this.

Over the previous two decades, campaign contributions from small donors to congressional elections have surged, and new technologies have transformed the process of political fundraising. How does money from small donors change how legislators take positions and behave in Congress? ActBlue is a digital platform that has lowered the non-monetary costs of individual contributions and has processed billions of dollars in donations for Democratic candidates and causes. Using a difference-in-differences design based on staggered ActBlue adoption by House candidates, I find that when candidates join ActBlue, they raise more money from individual donors. This is predominantly driven by growth in small-donor contributions. T…

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