Big city realignment
A failed messaging pivot, the need for moderation, shattered assumptions, downballot Dem survival, high turnout wouldn't have helped Harris, polling error was still bad, mobile is eating the world
No. 340 | December 6, 2024
🇺🇲 2024
155,234,550 votes counted based on the Cook Political tally. Our 153.7M estimate continues to be very close.
U.S. presidential vote swing in the Trump electoral era, 2012 - 2024.
There was a realignment in New York City, with Democratic votes dropping precipitously in large swaths of the city and Trump votes growing or holding steady.
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