No. 333 | October 4th, 2024
🇺🇲 2024
It continues to be a remarkably stable race, with no change in the average of the averages from last week. Harris is sitting near a high in the Silver Bulletin polling average, while the New York Times average narrowed
Silver Bulletin: Harris +3.4 (H+0.4)
538: Harris +2.5 (T+0.2)
NYT Upshot: Harris +2 (T+1)
The Hill/DDHQ: Harris +3.4 (T+0.6)
RCP: Harris +2.2 (H+0.2)
Cook Political: Harris +2.5 (H+0.1)
VoteHub: Harris +3.4 (H+0.7)
RacetotheWH: Harris +3.5 (NC)
Average of the Averages: Harris +2.9 (NC)
The Philly Inquirer is back with one of their precinct deep-dives (that I’m obviously a huge fan of). They dig into voting trends in the city of Philadelphia, and find losing ground with working class voters.
Turnout will be a huge factor in cities this November, particularly if turnout drops from 2020’s record high. The hit will mostly be among low-propensity voters, concentrated in big cities, where Democrats count on hitting specific raw vote goals. Here, it’…
