Black turnout dropped sharply in 2022

Plus: Young voters' moderate views, AI polling (& mind-reading), Nate Silver shares an update, and partisans' shifting views of Twitter post-Musk acquisition

No. 264 | May 5th, 2023

👫 Demographics

Scott Clement and Lenny Bronner: Black turnout dropped sharply in 2022 midterms, Census survey finds (The Washington Post)

“Turnout in last year’s midterm elections fell from a century-high point of 50 percent in 2018 to 46.6 percent in 2022, and census data released Tuesday suggest the drop was concentrated among Black voters, younger voters and college graduates.

Black voter turnout dropped by nearly 10 percentage points, from 51.7 percent in 2018 to 42 percent in 2022, according to a Washington Post analysis of the Census Bureau’s turnout survey. White voter turnout slipped by only 1.5 points to 53.4 percent. The 11-point turnout gap between White and Black voters is the largest in any presidential or midterm election since at least 2000.”

Jacob Fabina: Voter Registration in 2022 Highest in 20 Years for Congressional Elections (U.S. Census Bureau)

“More than half of the nation’s citizen, voting-age population (CVAP) voted in 2022 — the second highe…