CNN: "Democrats the Party of the People no more"

The bearish Dem midterm case, a new report on Pennsylvania Realignment, the nonvoter debate rekindles, the Driftless drifts Democratic, Crystal Ball House ratings, life satisfaction plummets

No. 357 | April 10th, 2025

👀 What a clip from Harry Enten on CNN this morning: The GOP gains as the Party of the People. No book love, but nevertheless…

But won’t Democrats come back, as they’re expected to do in midterms? Maybe not:

• In April 2017, Democrats already had a 7-point lead on the generic ballot. That’s the margin they ended up winning by. Today, the generic ballot is D+1.

• Even after the trade war, the parties are EVEN on the question of caring about people like you. Democrats have ALWAYS led on this question.

Thanks to Rick Farmer at the Oklahoma Council of Public Affairs for the book review.

Ruffini makes a convincing case that an enduring center-right populist coalition is possible. The historical trends of the early to mid-1900s show that as newly arrived ethnic groups become more integrated into American society, they move away from identity politics and toward policy-oriented voting. Recent trends since the early 2000s show Hispanic citizens who are registered to vote fol…