Did the Realignment reach downballot?
Echelon Insights's Split Ticket Atlas provides some clues
After each election cycle, me and my colleagues at Echelon Insights put together the Split Ticket Atlas, comparing Donald Trump’s performance to Republican Senate candidates.
The 2024 edition was just released today, containing data on every state over the last two cycles with contested two-party Senate races, and you can download your copy here:
One of the questions I often get asked is whether Trump’s multiracial populist coalition will show up for Republicans downballot. While Trump is unique in his appeal to realigning groups, the data here shows that there’s too much pessimism on this count among the Republican consulting class.
Let’s take a look at the Split Ticket Atlas for Texas over the last couple of cycles:
