Is the floor falling out on Biden's nonwhite support?

Plus: Never Back Down's field experiments, how the rural-urban divide has widened over time, Joe Manchin's dismal re-election prospects, and a warning about online panel surveys

No. 283 | September 9, 2023

📕 Party of the People arrives November 7, 2023

The launch day for my first book, Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP, is fast approaching. If anything, the arguments I make seem to have gotten stronger since I finished writing it. That’s in evidence this week with the top story in the newsletter on the apparent racial partisan realignment in that’s making a Biden vs. Trump rematch a tossup.

With one year to go until the 2024 election, Party of the People is the one thing you need to read to understand the surprising demographic forces shaping America’s future in 2024 and beyond. Pre-order your copy to get it on launch day.

But don’t take my word for it: here’s what some of the country’s most respected political observers have to say…

“Party of the People is a thorough, thoughtful, and nuanced look at the demographic and cultural trends that are shaping and re-shaping the Republican and Democratic coalitions. This dee…