New year, new political era

The best visualizations and survey findings of 2024, H1-B data dump, Americans now more unified, TikTok rising, GLP-1s hitting grocery spending

No. 343 | January 3rd, 2025

🇺🇲 2024

Nate Cohn says 2024 confirmed that we are in a new political era, marked by new voter coalitions and just maybe, the “R” word — realignment:

This new partisan conflict has led to very different electoral coalitions. In 2016, Mr. Trump made enormous gains among white voters without a college degree, including in Northern states, where Republicans had not been able to sustain breakthroughs. Since then, he has made even larger gains among young, Black, Hispanic and Asian voters — and did so by representing everything Democrats thought these groups opposed.

After three Trump elections, the partisan gap between white and nonwhite voters is now smaller than at any time since the enactment of the 1964 Civil Rights Act. The partisan generation gap has fallen by two-thirds. Perhaps most strikingly, the old class divide between rich and poor and capital and labor has seemingly vanished.

The exit polls found Mr. Trump losing voters making over $100,000 a year, wh…