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New York City's swing neighborhoods

New York City's swing neighborhoods

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Patrick Ruffini
Jun 20, 2025
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The Intersection
The Intersection
New York City's swing neighborhoods
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No. 364 | June 20th, 2025

🇺🇲 2025

Michael Lange has a must-read on the five bellwether neighborhoods in Tuesday’s Democratic primary in New York City between frontrunners Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani. Lange’s battlegrounds are:

  • Bedford-Stuyvesant: Cuomo’s strong Black voter support (with a projected 50% lead) faces Mamdani’s appeal to young renters and AOC supporters in this gentrifying area, tied by Eric Adams and Maya Wiley (10,786 votes each) in 2021.

  • Jackson Heights, Elmhurst, Corona, East Elmhurst: Mamdani’s South Asian base and AOC’s support challenge Cuomo’s name recognition in Hispanic Corona and Black East Elmhurst, mirroring 2021’s tight 161-ballot race.

  • Parkchester: Cuomo’s past dominance (80%+ in the 2018 primary) is tested by Mamdani’s canvassing of Bangladeshi and African voters with AOC’s local endorsement in this diverse Bronx community.

  • Upper Manhattan: Cuomo leads in Harlem with Black support, but Mamdani’s Morningside Heights edge and Lander’s cross-endorsements coul…

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