The Intersection

The Intersection

Poor college grads vs. rich non-grads

The turn against data centers, midterm forecasts come online, D+4 party ID, where people still live in their birth state, EV is lost on the Brits, where campaign money eats, the dream job

Patrick Ruffini's avatar
Patrick Ruffini
Jul 24, 2026
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👫 Poor college grads vs. rich non-grads

Nate Silver’s chart showing voting behavior by education level and income struck a chord on X this week, as all debates about the relative status of highly educated people inevitably do on that platform. And the reason is that is tracks closely with our intuitions about the “downwardly mobile” — people who are highly educated but who don’t earn much money. Those voters are the most Democratic in the country.

And the most Republican? The working class voter who never went to college but is middle class or even wealthy.

This isn’t just a story about two distinctive groups of people. Obviously, education is correlated with income, and so higher-income people tend to be more Democratic now. But you can probably tell a story across the electorate of the relative winners economically in each cohort voting Republican and the relative losers voting Democratic. More data on that soon.

📊 Americans are turning against data centers

A new POLITICO/Public First…

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