Redistricting redux

Plus: The GOP's economic advantage, age limits for politicians, the systemic decline in confidence, rural boys' advantage, and the Mets flop as explained by data

No. 287 | October 6, 2023

🗳️ Elections

Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich: Which states could get new congressional maps in 2024?  (ABC News)

“After the 2020 census, each state redrew its congressional district lines (if it had more than one seat) and its state legislative districts. 538 closely tracked how redistricting played out across the country ahead of the 2022 midterm elections. So everything is done and dusted, right?

Not so fast, my friend. More than a half-dozen states face the prospect of having to go through the redistricting process again, mostly due to federal and/or state litigation over racial or partisan gerrymandering concerns. Both Democrats and Republicans have the opportunity to flip seats in districts drawn more favorably than they were last cycle. For example, Democrats appear poised to pick up at least one seat in Alabama and could theoretically get more favorable maps in Louisiana and Georgia. Republicans, meanwhile, could benefit from more favorable 2024 map…