The Intersection

The Intersection

The fake poll epidemic

Nate Silver’s bullish forecast, prediction market blind spots, what’s risen faster than inflation, your brain on AI

Patrick Ruffini's avatar
Patrick Ruffini
Aug 21, 2026
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No. 412 | August 21, 2026

📉 No one should be surprised at the rise of fake polls

In a week, we’ve gone from inaccurate polls to completely fabricated ones. “Median Strategies,” which got its “polls” reported by major media outlets and cited by campaigns, was revealed to be a “social experiment” by 21-year-old Rahil Prakash to show far and fast fake data could travel. The answer: pretty far.

Meanwhile, The Public Sentiment Institute (TPSI), an outfit which has used synthetic samples, admitted to outright fabricating data by switching votes from one candidate to another. And that candidate just happened to be one they lied about working for.

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