The geography of dissatisfaction
Declining swing districts, where RFK fits, partisan divides over Ukraine and NATO, look closely at the wordcloud, campaign logos and candidate favorability, teens and video games
No. 314 | May 10, 2024
🇺🇲 2024: The Parties
Austin Park: Demographics and Dissatisfaction (VoteHub)
“President Joe Biden and former president Donald Trump are their parties’ presumptive nominees for the 2024 presidential election. Despite both candidates’ high unpopularity, their intra-party opposition failed to substantially materialize: they will both receive the lion’s share of the national delegates at their conventions. However, the success of the opposition they face can provide some useful context in understanding the dynamics of the general election and the coalitions of both candidates.”
🗳️ 2024: The Battlegrounds
J. Miles Coleman: Districts of Change, Part Two: Looking Beyond the Straight-Party Districts (The Center for Politics)
“Last week, we took a look at some longer-term district-level trends—our analysis was made possible by Dave’s Redistricting App (DRA), a free program that recently released presidential precinct-level data for most states going back to the 2008 elec…
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to The Intersection to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.