The realignment is here

The first GOP popular vote win in 20 years, the Red Wave hit everywhere, 2024 realigned the electorate as much as 2016, less secure voters moved towards Trump, everything got more correlated

No. 338 | November 15th, 2024

🇺🇲 2024

A few post-election interviews, focusing on my book, Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP, and how it explained much of what we saw last Tuesday. 

• The Ezra Klein Show: “The Book That Predicted the 2024 Election”

• Somebody’s Gotta Win Podcast: “How the 2024 Election Killed Identity Politics.”

• The Atlantic: “The Strategist Who Predicted Trump’s Multiracial Coalition.”

• Reason’s Just Asking Questions: “Why Did Trump Win?”

• The Liberal Patriot Podcast with Ruy Teixeira

And you can also catch me on a Niskanen Center/Liberal Patriot panel discussion at 3 p.m. eastern today.

Donald Trump’s multiracial coalition led to the first GOP popular vote win in 20 years. Electoral College bias will drop to something like 0.4 points, after a 3.7 bias in 2020.