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The RFK X-Factor

Voters approve of Trump's presidency, blaming Biden for the end of Roe, Biden's Midwest path, AI tools in school, population rebound

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Patrick Ruffini
May 17, 2024
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No. 315 | May 17, 2024

📊 2024: The Polls

Shane Goldmacher and Neil Vigdor: R.F.K. Jr. is 2024's X Factor, New Polls Show, Fueled by Young Voters and Social Media (The New York Times)

“Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is polling stronger than any third-party candidate has in decades, pulling in roughly 10 percent of registered voters across the battleground states as he saps support from both President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump, a new series of polls has found.

The overall results in the Biden versus Trump contest were virtually unchanged when Mr. Kennedy was included in the polls conducted by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer. But beneath the surface of that seeming stability, the surveys revealed how Mr. Kennedy, powered by social media and younger voters, has emerged as an unpredictable X factor in what would otherwise be a 2020 rematch.

With less than six months until the election, the faction of the electorate giving Mr. Kennedy early support expose…

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