No. 332 | September 27th, 2024
🇺🇲 2024
The averages:
Silver Bulletin: Harris +3.0 (H+0.2)
538: Harris +2.7 (H-0.2)
NYT Upshot: Harris +3 (NC)
The Hill/DDHQ: Harris +4.0 (H+0.4)
RCP: Harris +2.0 (H+0.1)
Cook Political: Harris +2.4 (H+0.2)
VoteHub: Harris +2.7 (H-0.2)
RacetotheWH: Harris +3.5 (H-0.2)
Average of the Averages: Harris +2.9 (H+0.1)
The fundraising disparity is becoming increasingly apparent on the airwaves, as more Harris ads are airing than Trump ads. Harris hasn’t increased her paid TV presence; Trump cut his by around a third starting on Labor Day—so, pre-debate.
One silver lining for the Trump campaign is that they’re airing more spots relative to their spending than the Harris campaign — $471 per airing compared to $737 for Harris/Walz. And of course, the main SuperPACs are paying far more — thanks to candidates getting the lowest unit rate. Pro-Harris FF PAC is paying $1,520 per spot while pro-Trump MAGA, Inc. is paying $1,668.
