The Intersection

The Intersection

Your election night watchlist

Track the size of the wave in the House with The Intersection’s print-and-save scorecard

Patrick Ruffini's avatar
Patrick Ruffini
Nov 02, 2026

Tomorrow night, the question is less whether Democrats win the House, but by how much.

As the night progresses, we’ll need a guide to what a given race call means in terms of the size of the majority in the House.

So I’ve put together a printable one page sheet that lets you track around 60 districts around the battleground in order of win probabilities. If Democrats take NC-11, for example, a composite of four different sources — DDHQ, Polymarket, Kalshi, and our own Swingometer — says this would count as Democratic seat #228, 10 more than a majority.

As a free subscriber, you can download your printable watchlist below and check out the interactive version.

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