Plus: Ohio smackdown, RFK the Republican, Britain vs. Mississippi, LLMs explained
Re Perry Meko and Uhrmacher
Now regress the small town two party vote share versus %Black among VAP. I'd be quite fascinated by that regression, actually. Then even more, a principal components analysis: e.g. just KL transform the raw votes against whatever other demographic data the Census easily provides for those small towns.
Especially if you try to norm the small town reaction (i.e. two party margin) versus the local metro's two party vote.