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One year of Trump 2.0. How’s his coalition doing?
Redistricting turns Dem, the four types of Trump voter, the partisanship of sports athletes, realignment in one chart, notes from the software…
Jan 23
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Patrick Ruffini
20
2
Some pollsters get it right
Polls sometimes underestimate Democrats, new Cook ratings, vibe-coding gone wild, AI-proofing your job, TV shows in decline, the age of information…
Jan 16
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Patrick Ruffini
9
2
The myth of MAGA isolationism
Polymarket insiders, the Claude Code moment, AI as the new crypto, the 2020s population race
Jan 9
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Patrick Ruffini
10
4
December 2025
The narrow Dem playing field
Living in the past, it’s the phones, why you should worry less, the podcast primary, Republican boy moms, who you spend time with visualized
Dec 19, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
10
2
1
Time for Trump to go all in on Freedom Cities for the midterms
Wonks won’t build the housing we need — but a brash former real estate mogul just might
Dec 18, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
9
1
1
Democratic voters support democratic socialism 3-to-1
Young voters and antisemitism, the New Entrant GOP, the Mississippi miracle, SCOTUS poised to end coordination limits, AI progress, trust in government…
Dec 12, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
23
2
7
The myth of the Trump-only voter
When no one votes Democrats win, redistricting a wash, 40% of young women would leave the U.S. if they could, scary AI progress, the rise of the…
Dec 5, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
16
4
2
November 2025
The low-propensity voter theory of everything
Don't spend your time thinking about a MAGA crackup. Think about this instead.
Nov 21, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
18
1
4
The Internet vs. real life, quantified
Political Tribes Quiz results, Realignment wakeup call, why Texas isn't a dummymander, moderation still wins, Nate Silver's blistering takedown, a key…
Nov 14, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
14
2
3
What's your political tribe?
Echelon's Political Tribes Quiz is here. See how the terminally online compare with actual voters.
Nov 12, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
15
6
4
What the heck just happened?
An iron law of off-year turnout, the Jersey Hispanic vote, low-propensity voters are obsessed with affordability, Dems win economy voters 2-to-1, NYC…
Nov 7, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
22
3
2
Where are the centrist insurgents?
Democrats need to fight the system, not just be more moderate.
Nov 4, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
34
9
6
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