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Echelon's quadrants are an SOS for economic conservatives
Thermostatic public opinion, a reversal on views of the Congressional parties, New England moderates, the realignment is global, challenging the idea…
6 hrs ago
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Patrick Ruffini
7
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Echelon's quadrants are an SOS for economic conservatives
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Never Zohran is looking a lot like Never Trump
Why New York City is probably screwed
Jul 8
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Patrick Ruffini
19
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Never Zohran is looking a lot like Never Trump
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June 2025
The Pew report and the primary
Confirming Trump's more diverse coalition, Mamdani romps in the "Commie Corridor," luxury beliefs, inclusive populism, active vs. passive news…
Jun 27
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Patrick Ruffini
10
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The Pew report and the primary
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Zohran probably can’t get through the Working Class Wall
Why a neighborhood-level analysis of the Mayor's race gives Cuomo the advantage
Jun 23
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Patrick Ruffini
10
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Zohran probably can’t get through the Working Class Wall
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New York City's swing neighborhoods
One Virginia candidate's hometown disadvantage, the Democrats' losing coalition, free trade is now popular, the ideological happiness gap, AI users…
Jun 20
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Patrick Ruffini
9
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New York City's swing neighborhoods
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How American populism compares with the rest of the world
Abortion opinion by state, views of the LA protests, partisan media consumption, Sam Altman's AI optimism, academic papers written by LLMs, ticket…
Jun 13
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Patrick Ruffini
13
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How American populism compares with the rest of the world
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Liberalism can't be counted on to reform itself
The mainstream left's dangerous game in New York City
Jun 10
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Patrick Ruffini
24
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Liberalism can't be counted on to reform itself
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The collapsing turnout of Democratic men
A warning for the party from the 2024 voter file data
Jun 3
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Patrick Ruffini
16
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The collapsing turnout of Democratic men
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May 2025
My piece in The Atlantic
The triple Trump swing counties, new racial voting data by state, Republicans' re-emerging electoral college advantage, persuasion beats turnout, don’t…
May 30
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Patrick Ruffini
12
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My piece in The Atlantic
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Catalist shows a durable partisan realignment
How the polls were bad in 2024, a more diverse electorate, low Dem ratings may not matter, Latino partisanship, community types, AI snitching
May 23
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Patrick Ruffini
10
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Catalist shows a durable partisan realignment
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Runaway AI could be the issue of 2028
One weird trick to fix recall vote, Census population growth estimates, mainline Protestants, Americans owning stocks, the Dem technology landscape
May 16
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Patrick Ruffini
4
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Runaway AI could be the issue of 2028
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Prediction markets didn’t get the Pope right, but this did
New Governor ratings, Trump approval on 52 issues, what makes a good Democrat or Republican, AI replacing new grads — and McKinsey consultants
May 9
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Patrick Ruffini
7
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Prediction markets didn’t get the Pope right, but this did
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