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Not 2012 anymore: voters now think GOP cares about them
Plus: winners and losers at the second debate, differences between GOP voters and the general electorate, the meaning of special elections, polling the…
Sep 29
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Patrick Ruffini
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Not 2012 anymore: voters now think GOP cares about them
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Why Trump lost Georgia
What a new way of breaking down the state's political geography says about what happened in 2020 and who will win in 2024
Sep 26
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Patrick Ruffini
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Why Trump lost Georgia
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Divisive, messy, corrupt, chaos
Plus: the problem with "select-all-that-apply," a look at Spanish-speakers, Democrats winning special elections, consultants using AI produced 40…
Sep 22
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Patrick Ruffini
6
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Divisive, messy, corrupt, chaos
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Is Trump's electoral college advantage fading?
Plus: Why 2024 might be a referendum on Trump not Biden, another look at Biden's nonwhite fade, a new campaign simulation, and red flags for dating
Sep 15
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Patrick Ruffini
4
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Is Trump's electoral college advantage fading?
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Is the floor falling out on Biden's nonwhite support?
Plus: Never Back Down's field experiments, how the rural-urban divide has widened over time, Joe Manchin's dismal re-election prospects, and a warning…
Sep 9
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Patrick Ruffini
3
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Is the floor falling out on Biden's nonwhite support?
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August 2023
Big shifts in the Republican race post-debate
Plus: Vivek wins online, negative partisanship buoys Trump, a "friendship recession," YouTube's algorithm leans left, what religious activity predicts
Aug 25
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Patrick Ruffini
4
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Big shifts in the Republican race post-debate
www.patrickruffini.com
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Another take on the Six Republican Parties
Plus: It's not Reagan's party anymore, the post-Dobbs abortion landscape, Brown's path to re-election, Pew's 11 facts about Hispanics
Aug 18
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Patrick Ruffini
2
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Another take on the Six Republican Parties
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Small towns would like to be excluded from the rural narrative
Plus: Ohio smackdown, RFK the Republican, Britain vs. Mississippi, LLMs explained
Aug 11
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Patrick Ruffini
2
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Small towns would like to be excluded from the rural narrative
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3
July 2023
Racial identity is more fluid than you might think
Plus: Myths about political demography, college towns and the GOP, Ramaswamy and Haley lead early state visits, how to do things with AI
Jul 21
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Patrick Ruffini
4
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Racial identity is more fluid than you might think
www.patrickruffini.com
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2022: It all came down to turnout
Plus: How a third party might help Trump, The Liberal Patriot's new polling project, Trump's Evangelical problem in Iowa, confidence in higher education…
Jul 14
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Patrick Ruffini
6
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2022: It all came down to turnout
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ChatGPT is getting a major upgrade
Plus: New House forecast launch, Silver on changes at FiveThirtyEight, AEI on the 2024 landscape, a history of electoral college bias, and the GOP's…
Jul 7
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Patrick Ruffini
3
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ChatGPT is getting a major upgrade
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June 2023
Controversy at FiveThirtyEight
Plus: Reading the tea leaves on older (and younger) voters, the decline of bellwether counties, and the new abortion voter.
Jun 30
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Patrick Ruffini
3
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Controversy at FiveThirtyEight
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