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Not 2012 anymore: voters now think GOP cares about them
Plus: winners and losers at the second debate, differences between GOP voters and the general electorate, the meaning of special elections, polling the…
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Patrick Ruffini
Why Trump lost Georgia
What a new way of breaking down the state's political geography says about what happened in 2020 and who will win in 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
Divisive, messy, corrupt, chaos
Plus: the problem with "select-all-that-apply," a look at Spanish-speakers, Democrats winning special elections, consultants using AI produced 40…
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Patrick Ruffini
Is Trump's electoral college advantage fading?
Plus: Why 2024 might be a referendum on Trump not Biden, another look at Biden's nonwhite fade, a new campaign simulation, and red flags for dating
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Patrick Ruffini
1
Is the floor falling out on Biden's nonwhite support?
Plus: Never Back Down's field experiments, how the rural-urban divide has widened over time, Joe Manchin's dismal re-election prospects, and a warning…
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Patrick Ruffini
August 2023
Big shifts in the Republican race post-debate
Plus: Vivek wins online, negative partisanship buoys Trump, a "friendship recession," YouTube's algorithm leans left, what religious activity predicts
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Patrick Ruffini
Another take on the Six Republican Parties
Plus: It's not Reagan's party anymore, the post-Dobbs abortion landscape, Brown's path to re-election, Pew's 11 facts about Hispanics
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Patrick Ruffini
Small towns would like to be excluded from the rural narrative
Plus: Ohio smackdown, RFK the Republican, Britain vs. Mississippi, LLMs explained
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Patrick Ruffini
3
July 2023
Racial identity is more fluid than you might think
Plus: Myths about political demography, college towns and the GOP, Ramaswamy and Haley lead early state visits, how to do things with AI
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Patrick Ruffini
2022: It all came down to turnout
Plus: How a third party might help Trump, The Liberal Patriot's new polling project, Trump's Evangelical problem in Iowa, confidence in higher education…
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Patrick Ruffini
1
ChatGPT is getting a major upgrade
Plus: New House forecast launch, Silver on changes at FiveThirtyEight, AEI on the 2024 landscape, a history of electoral college bias, and the GOP's…
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Patrick Ruffini
1
June 2023
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