Sitemap - 2025 - The Intersection

Charlie Kirk RIP

The Intersection’s way-too-early 2028 Democratic primary model

It's the cost of living, stupid

Not even the Blue Wall might save Dems in 2032

Gerrymandering is forever

Democrats losing registered voters

The looming California gerrymander

The midterm mirage

Why the Texas gerrymander was overdue

iOS 26 threatens polling

The Democratic Party’s plummeting ratings aren’t all they seem

Explore the American electorate in 3D

Kamala would have benefited from a shorter campaign, not a longer one

The Harris-Future Forward food fight

Paid subscriber webinar invite: America's political tribes

Echelon's quadrants are an SOS for economic conservatives

Never Zohran is looking a lot like Never Trump

The Pew report and the primary

Zohran probably can’t get through the Working Class Wall

New York City's swing neighborhoods

How American populism compares with the rest of the world

Liberalism can't be counted on to reform itself

The collapsing turnout of Democratic men

My piece in The Atlantic

Catalist shows a durable partisan realignment

Runaway AI could be the issue of 2028

Prediction markets didn’t get the Pope right, but this did

Two big pieces of 2024 data

Do Republicans have a shot at New Jersey?

CNN: "Democrats the Party of the People no more"

Programmatic Populism vs. Vibes Populism

Merry PVI-mas

Abundance is a casualty of the Realignment

Trump's strongest soldiers

Special election distress signals

Patrick Ruffini talks polling, Trump and our ongoing political realignment

Pennsylvania Memo: Inside Trump's Win and the McCormick Upset

Shor's autopsy

The year that broke the charts

The politics of maximum confrontation

ActBlues

Lessons from Trump's media team

What bridges the gender gap? Marriage.

Rechtsruck

Democrats want a more moderate party

Did Trump voters skip the Senate race in Nevada?

Fast and furious

2024’s overperformers

Michigan Memo: How Trump Won & What Happened Downballot

AI's political bias

Did the Realignment reach downballot?

Christmas in January

How Harris blew though a billion dollars

New year, new political era