Sitemap - 2024 - The Intersection
America now has more Republicans than Democrats
How MAHA micro-influencers changed the election
How Selzer (or anyone else) can get an election wrong
How Trump seized the battlegrounds
The book that explains the 2024 election
What to watch for on Election Night
Will Arab Americans flip Michigan?
North Carolina, State of Equilibrium
The 21 places that will decide the election
The trouble with modeled partisanship
Actually, you should look at margins, not vote share
The return of racial realigment
Big city warning signs for Democrats
What's behind the Republican surge in Pennsylvania voter registration?
Trump's bid for Catholic voters
The truth about campaign digital spending
Where Trump and Harris could outperform across the seven battlegrounds
The demographic swingometer returns
Preview: Will North Carolina vote to the left of Georgia?
Beware of phantom state polling swings
America's eight political tribes
The perils of a kitchen-sink debate strategy
Wisconsin, the sleeper tipping point state
How will we know if the polls are wrong again?
The Harris messaging challenge
Polls can't measure hypotheticals
Preview the Wisconsin Battleground Brief
A popular vote tie won’t be good enough for Biden
Is Arizona the Democrats’ Last Sun Belt Hope?
What's changed post-conviction?
Battleground Brief: An Arizona sneak peek
Can Trump turn the Silver State to gold?
The geography of dissatisfaction
Why Biden is playing to his base
Misleading youth vote indicators
What would it take to swing the election?
Racial realignment mega-thread
Is Trump falling short of expectations?
Special election voters are different
Why the 2024 election is happening out of order
538's refreshed pollster ratings
Biden's working class New Hampshire woes
How Pennsylvania became the deciding state